Project unclear: why we don’t know what effect Brexit would have on migration
As the UK's referendum on EU membership approaches, the debate over the pros and cons of leaving has intensified, write the Migration Observatory team at the University of Oxford. After more than a decade of elevated migration from EU countries, the free movement of people has been a defining issue in this debate. But while there has been much speculation about how Brexit might affect migration to and from the UK and what the social and economic consequences of such changes might be, the outcomes of Brexit are uncertain.